Beijing Guoan 2-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
19%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.39
X/X
10%
4.14
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.7
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 33%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.46
+10% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.5 Crosses 21.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 240
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
30.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-3 HT 2-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
28.11.2020 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.70 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
318 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Chengdu Qianbao 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 49% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 51%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.70 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Beijing Guoan 2-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 42%, draw 27%, Chengdu Qianbao 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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