Mantova 1-2 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.16/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.95
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cesena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2021 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 2-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
03.04.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
13.12.2020 Mantova Mantova 0-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTC
13.04.2010 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
15.11.2009 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
29.03.2008 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
1-2
AWAY Cesena
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena edged past Mantova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Cesena made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mantova had 67% of the ball to Cesena's 33%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mantova and 1.83 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Cesena?

Mantova 1-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie C on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mantova 35%, draw 31%, Cesena 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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