Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penya Encarnada v Esperança dAndorra — Team-Based Signals
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Penya Encarnada
AND
1-0
HT 1-0
Esperança dAndorra
AND
Penya Encarnada 3-2 Esperança dAndorra — Actual Match Statistics
Penya Encarnada edged past Esperança dAndorra 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Penya Encarnada had 60% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 40%, shots finished 17-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.00 for Esperança dAndorra.
What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?
Penya Encarnada 3-2 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 56%, draw 21%, Esperança dAndorra 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.