First Vienna 2-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

First Vienna
2-1 HT 2-1
Ried
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

First Vienna vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
15%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
8%
9.09
X/2
15%
4.1
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.19
2/X
7%
14.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

First Vienna v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.37/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.15
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
– Crosses 25.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

First Vienna vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ried
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Ried Ried 4-1 HT 1-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
06.12.2022 Ried Ried 6-1 First Vienna First Vienna HAZ

First Vienna 2-1 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
2-1
AWAY Ried
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna edged past Ried 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, First Vienna had 44% of the ball to Ried's 56%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for First Vienna and 5.00 for Ried.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Ried?

First Vienna 2-1 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 27%, draw 26%, Ried 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ried) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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