Weston Bears 6-1 Lake Macquarie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-6.4pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.1pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 9%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/4.55
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
488 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lake Macquarie
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-0 HT 2-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
30.04.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 0-4 HT 0-3 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
21.08.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-0 HT 1-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
29.06.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-5 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
01.08.2021 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
15.05.2021 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-3 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears swept aside Lake Macquarie 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Weston Bears and 1.00 for Lake Macquarie.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie?

Weston Bears 6-1 Lake Macquarie in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 76%, draw 14%, Lake Macquarie 10%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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