Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 May 2024

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1-0 HT 1-0
Baniyas SC
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.87
2-3 Goals
40%
2.29
4-5 Goals
26%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.86/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.72
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.4 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 1.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
521 Passes 251
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-4 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.09.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAELK
31.08.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
18.02.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
01.10.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
30.04.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1-0
AWAY Baniyas SC
0.81 xG 0.37
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
530 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi nicked a narrow win over Baniyas SC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 62% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 38%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.81 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 49%, draw 26%, Baniyas SC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
5 May 2024
17:05 Hatta Dubai vs Ajman Analysis →