Atletico Ottawa 2-0 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
13%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
0.83/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
-43% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.3 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valour
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 405
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
19.08.2023 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
09.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
23.04.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
18.09.2022 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
21.07.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-0
AWAY Valour
0.74 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
407 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa got the better of Valour 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 52% of the ball to Valour's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.83 for Valour.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Atletico Ottawa 2-0 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 52%, draw 21%, Valour 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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