Holstebro BK 3-1 Vejgaard BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.37/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.95
+40% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +64%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vejgaard BK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
06.04.2024 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 0-5 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
04.08.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
3-1
AWAY Vejgaard BK
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Vejgaard BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK saw off Vejgaard BK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Holstebro BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 48% of the ball to Vejgaard BK's 52%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Holstebro BK and 1.00 for Vejgaard BK.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Vejgaard BK?

Holstebro BK 3-1 Vejgaard BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Vejgaard BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 40%, draw 26%, Vejgaard BK 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstebro BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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