AS Sale 1-2 USM Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.2pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-8.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Sale EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.03/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.55
-1% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Sale
1W-0D-2L
AWAY USM Oujda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 USM Oujda 3-0 HT 2-0 AS Sale AS Sale FAS2
19.03.2023 USM Oujda 2-1 HT 2-0 AS Sale AS Sale FAS2
07.10.2022 AS Sale AS Sale 4-0 HT 1-0 USM Oujda FAS2
POST-MATCH AS Sale vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda squeezed past AS Sale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 38% / 28% — and on the day USM Oujda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Oujda led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AS Sale and 1.67 for USM Oujda.

What was the final score of AS Sale vs USM Oujda?

AS Sale 1-2 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Sale vs USM Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Sale 35%, draw 38%, USM Oujda 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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