Stellenbosch FC 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.68/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.53
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
27.0 Crosses 17.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.65
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
184 Passes 518
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
15.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
05.03.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
14.05.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-3 HT 0-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
04.12.2021 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
1-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.04 xG 1.87
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
167 Passes 364
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns squeezed past Stellenbosch FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Mamelodi Sundowns made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 37% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 63%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Stellenbosch FC 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Cup on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 30%, draw 31%, Mamelodi Sundowns 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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