Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gimcheon Sangmu v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Incheon United
GKOK
0-1
HT 0-0
Incheon United
GKOK
1-0
HT 1-0
Gimcheon Sangmu
GKOK
3-1
HT 2-1
Incheon United
GKOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Gimcheon Sangmu
GKOR
2-0
HT 0-0
Gimcheon Sangmu
GKOK
Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics
Gimcheon Sangmu and Incheon United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 47% of the ball to Incheon United's 53%, shots finished 13-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Incheon United.
What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?
Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 42%, draw 26%, Incheon United 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.