Suwon City 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 36% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.6
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.27
X/2
16%
5.81
X/X
16%
4.12
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
9%
4.14
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 5.27 — our 23% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
+30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.2 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
379 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
19.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
25.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
06.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
15.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 2-3 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
16.07.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-4 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-2
AWAY Gangwon
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
439 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past Suwon City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suwon City had 62% of the ball to Gangwon's 38%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Suwon City and 1.67 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Suwon City 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 41%, draw 30%, Gangwon 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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