Seongnam 2-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.16/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
357 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
14.08.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-1 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
14.05.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
05.03.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 2-2 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
14.08.2021 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-2 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
25.04.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam edged past Suwon Bluewings 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Seongnam had 41% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 59%, shots finished 9-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Seongnam and 1.83 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Suwon Bluewings?

Seongnam 2-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 27%, draw 28%, Suwon Bluewings 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ BTTS Yes
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