Zrinski Jurjevac 4-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.75
No
65%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.1pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.83/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.69
+16% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 3-0 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
4-1
AWAY Dugopolje
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinski Jurjevac cruised past Dugopolje 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zrinski Jurjevac as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zrinski Jurjevac had 52% of the ball to Dugopolje's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje?

Zrinski Jurjevac 4-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 62%, draw 24%, Dugopolje 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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