FA Siauliai II 4-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.80/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.34
+24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
4-1
AWAY Hegelmann II
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II swept aside Hegelmann II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 61% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 39%, shots finished 23-10.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II?

FA Siauliai II 4-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 37%, draw 26%, Hegelmann II 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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