Tiszakecske 2-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.08/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.85
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiszakecske
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
01.11.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MACK
09.04.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-3 HT 0-3 Ajka Ajka MAC2
09.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
06.04.2022 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 4-1 HT 2-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
17.10.2021 Ajka Ajka 5-1 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
POST-MATCH Tiszakecske vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiszakecske edged past Ajka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tiszakecske and 1.83 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Tiszakecske vs Ajka?

Tiszakecske 2-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiszakecske vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tiszakecske 32%, draw 27%, Ajka 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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