Baerum 1-3 Frigg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 May 2024

Baerum
1-3 HT 1-2
Frigg
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Baerum vs Frigg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.31
No
31%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.25
2-3 Goals
35%
2.57
4-5 Goals
30%
2.32
6+ Goals
20%
3.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.3pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baerum v Frigg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Frigg EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Baerum vs Frigg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Frigg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2022 Baerum Baerum 3-0 HT 0-0 Frigg Frigg NOR3
30.04.2022 Frigg Frigg 4-1 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
20.01.2018 Baerum Baerum 3-2 HT 1-0 Frigg Frigg HAZ
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Frigg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frigg beat Baerum 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Baerum at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baerum had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Baerum and 2.00 for Frigg.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Frigg?

Baerum 1-3 Frigg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Frigg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Baerum 49%, draw 24%, Frigg 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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