Beltinci 1-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beltinci EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.01/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.89
+18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +91%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beltinci
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Ilirija
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVNK
15.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
01.04.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 2-3 HT 1-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
17.09.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 1-1 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
13.04.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-2 HT 2-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beltinci
1-2
AWAY Ilirija
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beltinci vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija squeezed past Beltinci 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Beltinci carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Beltinci had 69% of the ball to Ilirija's 31%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beltinci had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Beltinci and 1.00 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Beltinci vs Ilirija?

Beltinci 1-2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beltinci vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 57%, draw 21%, Ilirija 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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