Nueva Chicago 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-6.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.5pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.13
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
08.05.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
12.11.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.07.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
09.11.2019 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.02.2014 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Caseros 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Nueva Chicago made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.60 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Nueva Chicago 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 31%, draw 35%, Estudiantes Caseros 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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