Atletico Tigre 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.7
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.5
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
15%
6.54
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
12%
3.44
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.46
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.05/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.22
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.8 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 3-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
06.02.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-2 HT 0-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
04.09.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
29.05.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
16.06.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 5-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
22.05.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.54 xG 0.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 501
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre and Boca Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 37% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 63%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.54 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.83 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Boca Juniors?

Atletico Tigre 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 34%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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