Al Rayyan 4-2 Lusail City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.5pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusail City EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+78% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
515 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
4-2
AWAY Lusail City
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Lusail City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan saw off Lusail City 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 58% of the ball to Lusail City's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Lusail City?

Al Rayyan 4-2 Lusail City in the KATEK on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Lusail City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 64%, draw 17%, Lusail City 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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