AVS 1-2 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 May 2025

AVS
1-2 HT 0-0
Boavista
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.68
Over
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.73
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
23%
4.12
6+
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.18
X/2
10%
6.33
X/X
16%
4.17
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.20/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-24% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.1 Crosses 15.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Boavista
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
438 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Boavista Boavista 0-0 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-2
AWAY Boavista
1.22 xG 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 313
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AVS vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista edged past AVS 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Boavista made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AVS had 45% of the ball to Boavista's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.22 to 0.83.

What was the final score of AVS vs Boavista?

AVS 1-2 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AVS 40%, draw 29%, Boavista 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AVS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
5 May 2025
00:00 Rio Ave vs Estrela Analysis →