FCSB 3-1 Dinamo Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.35
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.0 Crosses 11.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.53 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
289 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 1-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
23.02.2025 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
30.10.2024 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-4 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
20.10.2024 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
26.11.2023 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
22.07.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
3-1
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
1.09 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
298 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Dinamo Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB saw off Dinamo Bucarest 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FCSB had 48% of the ball to Dinamo Bucarest's 52%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.09 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dinamo Bucarest.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FCSB and 0.50 for Dinamo Bucarest.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Dinamo Bucarest?

FCSB 3-1 Dinamo Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Dinamo Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FCSB 55%, draw 24%, Dinamo Bucarest 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5
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