Al Suqoor 4-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Suqoor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.19/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.73
+36% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Suqoor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Faisaly
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2025 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-2 Al Suqoor Al Suqoor SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Suqoor
4-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Suqoor vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Suqoor cruised past Al Faisaly 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Suqoor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Suqoor had 56% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 44%, shots finished 15-19.

What was the final score of Al Suqoor vs Al Faisaly?

Al Suqoor 4-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Suqoor vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Suqoor 52%, draw 24%, Al Faisaly 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Suqoor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Suqoor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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