Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
Crosses 10.7
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.66 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
258 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine and One Knoxville shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 50% of the ball to One Knoxville's 50%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs One Knoxville?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 32%, draw 27%, One Knoxville 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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