Karvan Evlakh 0-3 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 May 2026

Karvan Evlakh
0-3 HT 0-1
Neftçi PFK
📅05/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Karvan Evlakh vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
12%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karvan Evlakh v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 75%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.54/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.52
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Karvan Evlakh vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvan Evlakh
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 1-2 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
27.09.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-0 HT 0-0 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
POST-MATCH Karvan Evlakh vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK ran out comfortable winners over Karvan Evlakh 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karvan Evlakh and 1.00 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Karvan Evlakh vs Neftçi PFK?

Karvan Evlakh 0-3 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvan Evlakh vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Karvan Evlakh 14%, draw 24%, Neftçi PFK 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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