Keflavik 5-0 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.17
Over 2.5
71%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.38
No
35%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
28%
+0.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
72%
-0.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.0pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.51/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.37
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-7 HT 0-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
08.08.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
12.05.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
09.02.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 2-3 HT 2-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
19.09.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
20.06.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik cruised past Leiknir Reykjavik 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Keflavik and 0.83 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Keflavik 5-0 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 55%, draw 21%, Leiknir Reykjavik 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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