Boston River 1-3 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.10/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.84
+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
12.03.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
15.09.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.07.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
11.04.2022 Boston River Boston River 0-6 HT 0-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
17.10.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-3
AWAY Nacional de Football
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football got the better of Boston River 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 52% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 48%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 2.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Nacional de Football?

Boston River 1-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boston River 28%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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