Estudiantes 4-0 El Vigia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY El Vigia EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY El Vigia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.06.2024 El Vigia El Vigia 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes VENK
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs El Vigia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes cruised past El Vigia 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs El Vigia?

Estudiantes 4-0 El Vigia in the VENK on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs El Vigia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 51%, draw 26%, El Vigia 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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