AEgir 0-3 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 5 Jun 2026

📅05/06/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
39%
+9.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.7pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik The Market 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/2.13
-34% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 AEgir AEgir 0-5 HT 0-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
12.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-2 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik swept aside AEgir 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AEgir at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AEgir and 4.00 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

AEgir 0-3 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AEgir 48%, draw 22%, Leiknir Reykjavik 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AEgir), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEgir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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