Meksika 5-1 Sırbistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Türk Takımları, 5 Jun 2026

📅05/06/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 26% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
20.15
X/1
17%
3.67
X/2
5%
16.45
X/X
11%
6.79
2/1
16%
22.65
2/2
5%
14.65
2/X
5%
23.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 14%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.11.2011 Meksika Meksika 2-0 HT 1-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
5-1
AWAY Sırbistan
2.26 xG 0.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
523 Passes 254
92% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Sırbistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika ran out comfortable winners over Sırbistan 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Meksika had 66% of the ball to Sırbistan's 34%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.26 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Sırbistan?

Meksika 5-1 Sırbistan in the Friendlies - Türk Takımları on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Sırbistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Meksika 61%, draw 23%, Sırbistan 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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