Nijerya (K) 2-1 Senegal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jun 2026

Nijerya (K)
2-1 HT 2-0
Senegal (K)
📅05/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Nijerya (K) vs Senegal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijerya (K) v Senegal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Senegal (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/7.00
-13% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -66%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Nijerya (K) vs Senegal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya (K) squeezed past Senegal (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nijerya (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nijerya (K) vs Senegal (K)?

Nijerya (K) 2-1 Senegal (K) in the Friendlies on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya (K) vs Senegal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nijerya (K) 67%, draw 18%, Senegal (K) 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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