İtalya (K) 3-0 Sırbistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 5 Jun 2026

📅05/06/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.44
No
46%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
33%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
80%
-7.5pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.4pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
37%
+17.2pp
46%
BTTS No
63%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.32/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.73
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +60%
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 75%
50.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
23.0 Crosses 6.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan (K)
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.25 xG 0.47
72% Ball Possession 28%
39 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
529 Passes 173
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Crosses 5
14.04.2026 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) 0-6 HT 0-3 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
3-0
AWAY Sırbistan (K)
3.13 xG 0.75
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
452 Passes 204
56 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs Sırbistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sırbistan (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 65% of the ball to Sırbistan (K)'s 35%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.13 to 0.75.

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?

İtalya (K) 3-0 Sırbistan (K) in the Women's World Cup on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 73%, draw 20%, Sırbistan (K) 7%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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