Portekiz (K) 5-0 Letonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 5 Jun 2026

📅05/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
20.9
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
36%
3.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.33
6+ Goals
23%
1.85
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.92 — our 36% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
42%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
85%
-10.7pp
17%
Draw
8%
+8.6pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.56/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/9.47
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 80%
57.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 0.0
22.3 Crosses 0.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Letonya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.49 xG 0.80
77% Ball Possession 23%
24 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
506 Passes 108
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
59 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2026 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz (K)
5-0
AWAY Letonya (K)
4.56 xG 0.07
79% Ball Possession 21%
36 Total Shots 1
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
508 Passes 139
59 Box Touches 2
36 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz (K) vs Letonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) swept aside Letonya (K) 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portekiz (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Portekiz (K) had 79% of the ball to Letonya (K)'s 21%, shots finished 36-1, expected goals 4.56 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Portekiz (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Portekiz (K) 5-0 Letonya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Portekiz (K) 74%, draw 17%, Letonya (K) 9%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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