Ukrayna (K) 0-1 İzlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 5 Jun 2026

📅05/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-8.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.88/4.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+19% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
282 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 512 · 88%
8.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İzlanda (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 3.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
160 Passes 331
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 47
9 Crosses 37
14.04.2026 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna (K)
0-1
AWAY İzlanda (K)
1.13 xG 1.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
251 Passes 193
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ukrayna (K) vs İzlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda (K) squeezed past Ukrayna (K) 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İzlanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ukrayna (K) had 55% of the ball to İzlanda (K)'s 45%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Ukrayna (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Ukrayna (K) 0-1 İzlanda (K) in the Women's World Cup on 05/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna (K) 17%, draw 21%, İzlanda (K) 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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