Perth 1-3 Floreat Athena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.59
Over Pick
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
38%
4-5
31%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.46/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/3.76
+27% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Floreat Athena
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 4-1 HT 3-0 Perth Perth AVUSB
29.07.2023 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 0-1 HT 0-0 Perth Perth AVUSB
15.04.2023 Perth Perth 2-1 HT 1-0 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
11.06.2022 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 3-1 HT 1-0 Perth Perth AVNPL
03.05.2022 Perth Perth 2-2 HT 1-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
18.09.2021 Perth Perth 6-3 HT 5-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth vs Floreat Athena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floreat Athena saw off Perth 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Perth at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Perth and 2.17 for Floreat Athena.

What was the final score of Perth vs Floreat Athena?

Perth 1-3 Floreat Athena in the Australia - NPL West on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth vs Floreat Athena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth 44%, draw 23%, Floreat Athena 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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