Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
9%
6.77
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.01
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +29%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
-3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.5 Crosses 19.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
250 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
16.09.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
13.05.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.04.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
05.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-5 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
08.10.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-3
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.54 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
337 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe saw off Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 52% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.17 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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