Staal Jorpeland 3-2 Vidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-16.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Vidar EU Bookmakers 75%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.44/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/1.56
+61% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Staal Jorpeland
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vidar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.06.2024 Vidar Vidar 4-0 HT 1-0 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
07.09.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 3-4 HT 1-1 Vidar Vidar NOR4
15.06.2023 Vidar Vidar 2-1 HT 0-1 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
POST-MATCH Staal Jorpeland vs Vidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Staal Jorpeland squeezed past Vidar 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vidar at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vidar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Staal Jorpeland and 3.33 for Vidar.

What was the final score of Staal Jorpeland vs Vidar?

Staal Jorpeland 3-2 Vidar in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Staal Jorpeland vs Vidar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vidar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Staal Jorpeland 24%, draw 21%, Vidar 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vidar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vidar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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