Lilleström II 4-3 Assiden IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.22
No
37%
3.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
11.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.24
6+ Goals
18%
2.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
78%
-14.7pp
37%
BTTS No
22%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Assiden IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.93/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.00
+42% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +105%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
4-3
AWAY Assiden IF
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Assiden IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II squeezed past Assiden IF 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström II had 49% of the ball to Assiden IF's 51%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Assiden IF?

Lilleström II 4-3 Assiden IF in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Assiden IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 42%, draw 24%, Assiden IF 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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