Smorgon 1-3 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
2.33/3.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.83
+49% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
25.04.2020 Smorgon Smorgon 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
05.07.2014 Smorgon Smorgon 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BRU1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk got the better of Smorgon 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day FC Volna Pinsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Smorgon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Smorgon and 0.50 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Smorgon 1-3 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 29%, draw 32%, FC Volna Pinsk 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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