Ittihad Tanger 2-1 CODM Meknes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 37% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CODM Meknes EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.08/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CODM Meknes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
08.05.2025 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 2-0 HT 1-0 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes FAS
14.12.2024 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ittihad Tanger squeezed past CODM Meknes 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ittihad Tanger as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CODM Meknes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 0.67 for CODM Meknes.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes?

Ittihad Tanger 2-1 CODM Meknes in the Morocco - League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ittihad Tanger win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 41%, draw 28%, CODM Meknes 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ittihad Tanger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ittihad Tanger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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