Valmiera / BSS 4-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2026

Valmiera / BSS
4-1 HT 2-0
Leevon / PPK
📅05/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2026

Valmiera / BSS vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+1.6pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera / BSS v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.69
-59% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS ran out comfortable winners over Leevon / PPK 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Leevon / PPK?

Valmiera / BSS 4-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 65%, draw 15%, Leevon / PPK 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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