FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FH Hafnarfjordur v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R. Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics
Vikingur R. edged past FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Vikingur R. found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 40% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 60%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.03 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vikingur R.'s control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.50 for Vikingur R..
What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R.?
FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R.?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 30%, draw 30%, Vikingur R. 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.