The Strongest 5-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.47/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.9 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 194
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.07.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.02.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-4 HT 0-3 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
13.09.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
5-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
3.15 xG 0.55
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
395 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest swept aside Independiente Petrolero 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The Strongest had 67% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 33%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 3.15 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for The Strongest and 0.67 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

The Strongest 5-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 58%, draw 21%, Independiente Petrolero 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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