ABD U20 vs Meksika U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD U20 v Meksika U20 — Team-Based Signals
ABD U20 vs Meksika U20 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Meksika U20
CONCACAF U20
1-0
HT 1-0
Meksika U20
CONCACAF U20
ABD U20 1-2 Meksika U20 — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika U20 nicked a narrow win over ABD U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Meksika U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ABD U20 had 34% of the ball to Meksika U20's 66%, shots finished 6-33, expected goals 0.30 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meksika U20's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ABD U20 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ABD U20 and 0.00 for Meksika U20.
What was the final score of ABD U20 vs Meksika U20?
ABD U20 1-2 Meksika U20 in the CONCACAF U20 on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD U20 vs Meksika U20?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ABD U20 39%, draw 22%, Meksika U20 39%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.