Vejle 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.18
Over
48%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.59
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.34
2-3
37%
1.88
4-5
24%
2.97
6+
9%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.34 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Vejle The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland The Market 56%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.13 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.52
1.57 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
17.9 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
322 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
01.10.2023 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
15.05.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
18.04.2022 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.10.2021 Vejle Vejle 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
23.08.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 2-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
0-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
0.57 xG 1.52
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 604
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vejle vs FC Nordsjaelland
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Nordsjaelland squeezed past Vejle 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.59, about 63%.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.57 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Vejle against 1.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Vejle vs FC Nordsjaelland Result & Final Score

Vejle 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vejle vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vejle 29%, draw 26%, FC Nordsjaelland 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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