Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
9%
+11.4pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.6pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-17.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grosseto EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 84%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.75/0.45
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +137%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grosseto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 32
1 Shots on Target 15
2 Corners 16
01.08.2023 Grosseto Grosseto 0-4 HT 0-2 Fiorentina Fiorentina HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grosseto
2-7
AWAY Fiorentina
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Grosseto vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina swept aside Grosseto 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-5. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Grosseto had 31% of the ball to Fiorentina's 69%, shots finished 8-25.

What was the final score of Grosseto vs Fiorentina?

Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina in the Friendlies on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grosseto vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Grosseto 21%, draw 18%, Fiorentina 61%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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