Zamalek 4-2 ENPPI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 36% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ENPPI EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.17
+56% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
16.6 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ENPPI
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 0.78
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
455 Passes 182
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 2-1 HT 1-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
12.03.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
02.11.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
10.05.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
26.10.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
26.10.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
4-2
AWAY ENPPI
1.65 xG 2.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
410 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs ENPPI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek got the better of ENPPI 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Zamalek found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 58% of the ball to ENPPI's 42%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.65 to 2.07 — on chances, ENPPI could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ENPPI led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamalek and 1.17 for ENPPI.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs ENPPI?

Zamalek 4-2 ENPPI in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs ENPPI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 39%, draw 32%, ENPPI 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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