Kristiansund II 1-0 Molde II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
60%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.33
No
44%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.8pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.1pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
71%
-15.6pp
44%
BTTS No
29%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund II EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde II EU Bookmakers 71%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.80/1.45
-33% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
259 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Molde II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
21.05.2024 Molde II Molde II 5-2 HT 3-0 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund II
1-0
AWAY Molde II
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund II vs Molde II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund II nicked a narrow win over Molde II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Molde II at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kristiansund II had 56% of the ball to Molde II's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Kristiansund II vs Molde II?

Kristiansund II 1-0 Molde II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund II vs Molde II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund II 23%, draw 17%, Molde II 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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