Fransa U23 3-1 Mısır U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.72
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
11%
3.2
X/2
11%
16.3
X/X
16%
5.14
2/1
4%
30.0
2/2
7%
15.6
2/X
3%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
0.89/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.31
+15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +109%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.2 Crosses 13.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U23
3-1
AWAY Mısır U23
3.65 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
32 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
625 Passes 391
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
50 Box Touches 20
40 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fransa U23 vs Mısır U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U23 saw off Mısır U23 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fransa U23 had 60% of the ball to Mısır U23's 40%, shots finished 32-17, expected goals 3.65 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Fransa U23 vs Mısır U23?

Fransa U23 3-1 Mısır U23 in the Olympics on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U23 vs Mısır U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fransa U23 54%, draw 25%, Mısır U23 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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